Greece
0 - 1
Spain

Siopis (33'), Tsimikas (55'), Goutas (59'), Tzavellas (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sarabia (26' pen.)
Sarabia (48'), Carvajal (79')

Build‑up

Spain debutant De Tomas opens up on "unforgettable day"

Luis Enrique provides Gavi update after facial injury

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Greece and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's World Cup 2022 Qualifying clash with Greece.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Greece had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Greece win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Spain in this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Spain
35.36%	27.03%	37.62%

Both teams to score 50.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.49%

54.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14%

75.86%

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.59%

29.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.6%

65.4%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.95%

28.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29%

63.71%

Score Analysis

Greece 35.35%

Spain 37.61%

Draw 27.02%

Greece	Draw	Spain
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.35%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 3.46% 0-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.61%