Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Zambia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Zambia.
Result | ||
Lesotho | Draw | Zambia |
19.79% ( 0.35) | 24.59% ( -0.18) | 55.62% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 46.68% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.72% ( 1.08) | 54.27% ( -1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% ( 0.9) | 75.67% ( -0.9) |
Lesotho Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.94% ( 1.03) | 42.06% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.51% ( 0.87) | 78.48% ( -0.88) |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.56% ( 0.35) | 19.44% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.72% ( 0.57) | 51.27% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Lesotho | Draw | Zambia |
1-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.79% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.71% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.42) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 5.99% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.84% Total : 55.61% |
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