Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 36.78%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (11.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
