Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.05) 
