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J1 League | Gameweek 36
Nov 20, 2021 at 5am UK
Panasonic Stadium Suita

Gamba Osaka
1 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Patric (53')
Kurata (30'), Yanagisawa (54'), Patric (85')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Swierczok (8', 29'), Kakitani (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
30.1%27.91%41.99%
Both teams to score 46.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.11%58.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62%79.38%
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97%72.03%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.33%27.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.78%63.22%
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 30.1%
    Nagoya Grampus 41.99%
    Draw 27.9%
Gamba OsakaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.17%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 5.3%
3-1 @ 2.37%
3-0 @ 1.84%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.1%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 12.53%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-2 @ 8.06%
1-3 @ 3.6%
0-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 1.87%
1-4 @ 1.16%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.99%

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