J1 League | Gameweek 29
Sep 30, 2023 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Ono (9'), Harada (90+9'), Seok-Ho (90+11')
Naganuma (36'), Fujita (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kyoto Sanga.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sagan Tosu would win this match.
| Result |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
42.12% ( -0.21) | 25.55% ( -0.04) | 32.33% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.93% ( 0.22) |
| 51.09% ( 0.24) | 48.91% ( -0.24) |
| 29% ( 0.22) | 71% ( -0.22) |
| 76.91% ( 0) | 23.08% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.08% ( 0.01) | 56.92% ( -0.01) |
| 71.42% ( 0.28) | 28.58% ( -0.28) |
