Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
