Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.
