Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Consadole Sapporo win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.