Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
