SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
56.49% ( -0.59) | 21.37% ( 0.13) | 22.14% ( 0.46) |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.39% ( 0.01) | 37.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.01) | 59.85% ( -0.01) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.17) | 13.23% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60% ( -0.35) | 39.99% ( 0.35) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( 0.41) | 30.25% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( 0.49) | 66.42% ( -0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kawasaki Frontale | Draw | Kyoto Sanga |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.11)1-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.49% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.14% |
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