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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 7am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Koshimichi (23'), Nakano (48')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Patric (2'), Inagaki (18'), Sasaki (84' og.)
Morishima (45+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
54.13% (0.022999999999996 0.02) 25.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 20.74% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)76.41% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.54% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (-0.032 -0.03)78.03% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.13%
    Nagoya Grampus 20.74%
    Draw 25.12%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.99%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-2 Hiroshima
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League


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