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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 14, 2022 at 11am UK
Tosu Stadium

Sagan Tosu
0 - 0
Nagoya Grampus


Tezuka (90+1')
FT

Inagaki (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 46.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
46.88% (2.642 2.64) 27.49% (-0.575 -0.57) 25.63% (-2.065 -2.07)
Both teams to score 45.27% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.859 0.86)59.52% (-0.857 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.656 0.66)79.87% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (1.735 1.74)25.44% (-1.733 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (2.312 2.31)60.27% (-2.311 -2.31)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (-1.294 -1.29)39.28% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (-1.229 -1.23)75.98% (1.231 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 46.87%
    Nagoya Grampus 25.63%
    Draw 27.49%
Sagan TosuDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.67% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.601 0.6)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.27% (0.466 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.082 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.222 0.22)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 46.87%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 9.99% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.34% (-0.653 -0.65)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.328 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.472 -0.47)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 25.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-0 Jubilo Iwata
Sunday, August 7 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 3-3 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, July 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 16 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-1 Reysol
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 2 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 5-0 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Urawa
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 30 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, July 10 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, July 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 2 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, June 26 at 10am in J1 League


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