Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.
