Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
