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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 at 11am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
4 - 4
Sagan Tosu

Higuchi (52'), Ueda (68'), Doi (90+2'), Someno (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tashiro (31', 90+7'), Miyashiro (38'), Koizumi (49')
Tashiro (58')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 29 at 7am in J1 League
Next Game: Kashima Antlers vs. Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, May 29 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Jubilo Iwata vs. Sagan Tosu
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
56.07% (-0.615 -0.62) 25.08% (0.27 0.27) 18.84% (0.346 0.35)
Both teams to score 43.95% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.86% (-0.531 -0.53)57.14% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.99% (-0.425 -0.43)78% (0.42500000000001 0.43)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.62% (-0.452 -0.45)20.38% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (-0.725 -0.73)52.79% (0.723 0.72)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.096000000000004 0.1)44.8% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.077000000000002 0.08)80.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 56.06%
    Sagan Tosu 18.84%
    Draw 25.08%
Kashima AntlersDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 14.52% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 11.55% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 56.06%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.167 0.17)
1-2 @ 4.68% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.94% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 18.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Urawa 1-1 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 21 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-1 Consadole
Saturday, May 14 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-1 Jubilo Iwata
Tuesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Friday, April 29 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, April 17 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, May 21 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, May 14 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, May 8 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Cerezo
Tuesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-4 Sagan Tosu
Friday, April 29 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse
Sunday, April 17 at 7am in J1 League


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