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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Avispa Fukuoka

Nakatani (15')
Tiago (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lukian (25'), Mae (28'), Yanagi (67')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 28 at 6am in J1 League
Next Game: Urawa vs. Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Urawa
Saturday, May 28 at 9am in J1 League
Next Game: Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, June 18 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
47.85% (0.056000000000004 0.06) 29.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 22.7% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 38.16% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.77% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.58% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)85.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.6% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.017999999999994 0.02)64.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)46.56% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (-0.058 -0.06)82.15% (0.057999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 47.84%
    Avispa Fukuoka 22.69%
    Draw 29.44%
Nagoya GrampusDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 16.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 47.84%
0-0 @ 13.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-1 @ 12.74%
2-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.44%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 22.69%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Cerezo
Saturday, May 14 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Tuesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Thursday, April 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 0-0 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, April 20 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Yokohama
Saturday, May 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, May 14 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, May 7 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 5-1 FC Tokyo
Tuesday, May 3 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, April 29 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Cerezo
Sunday, April 17 at 9am in J1 League


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