J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 25, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
Result |
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
47.85% ( 0.06) | 29.45% ( 0) | 22.7% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 38.16% ( -0.05) |
32.77% ( -0.03) | 67.23% ( 0.03) |
14.58% ( -0.02) | 85.42% ( 0.02) |
71.4% ( 0.01) | 28.6% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.02) | 64.4% ( -0.02) |
53.44% ( -0.07) | 46.56% ( 0.07) |