Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 46.58%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
