Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.
