Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 14.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
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