Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.
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