Sevilla are yet to really get going this season, but they will bring a three-game unbeaten run into this contest, including a win over Las Palmas in their last home league match. Almeria are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are just backing a narrow Sevilla win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
-3.38) 
1.12) 
