SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
54.46% ( -3.38) | 23.34% ( 1.12) | 22.21% ( 2.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.84% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( -1.99) | 46.49% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -1.89) | 68.77% ( 1.9) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -1.85) | 16.97% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.94% ( -3.4) | 47.06% ( 3.4) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% ( 1.11) | 35.16% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.09% ( 1.14) | 71.91% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.45)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.61)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.45)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.2)Other @ 3% Total : 54.45% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.68) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.44)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.99% Total : 22.21% |
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