We expect a comfortable victory for Athletic on Friday, with their form and confidence very high after quickly adapting to Valverde's management once again.
The visitors have failed to score in each of their last three matches and that run is likely to continue against a solid outfit away from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
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