Almeria were certainly the more impressive of the two sides on the opening day, but Elche will be keen not to suffer a second straight defeat, particularly at home to a newly-promoted side, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.68) 
0.86) 
