Both teams will be motivated to make a positive impression on Monday, most notably Athletic because of their high-profile change in leadership. Mallorca may have their moments at San Mames, but we feel that the home side will edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
57.74% ( -2.62)	25.38% ( 1.03)	16.87% ( 1.58)

Both teams to score 40.07% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.5% (

-1.19)

60.49% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.39% (

-0.91)

80.61% (

0.91)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.95% (

-1.5)

21.05% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

-2.39)

53.85% (

2.39)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.75% (

1.44)

49.24% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.87% (

84.13% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 57.73%

Mallorca 16.87%

Draw 25.37%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Mallorca
1-0 @ 16.15% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.58% ( -0.61) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.38) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.73%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.45) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.92% Total : 16.87%