Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
38.86%	26.56%	34.58%

Both teams to score 52.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.29%

52.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.65%

74.35%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51%

26.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32%

61.69%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98%

29.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.08%

64.92%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 38.86%

Atletico Madrid 34.58%

Draw 26.56%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.23% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 7.82% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.58%