SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (12.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
36.91% ( -0.62) | 30.45% ( 0.31) | 32.64% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 40.82% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.41% ( -0.88) | 66.59% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.01% ( -0.6) | 84.98% ( 0.6) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( -0.87) | 34.61% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.67% ( -0.94) | 71.33% ( 0.94) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.42% ( -0.26) | 37.57% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.64% ( -0.26) | 74.35% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.26% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 13% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.44% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.73% Total : 32.63% |
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