Atletico will again be missing a number of important players for this match, but Cadiz have injury problems of their own ahead of kickoff on Friday night. The visitors are certainly capable of making it an uncomfortable match for Simeone's side, but we are expecting the Spanish champions to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 10.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.57%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
69.81%	19.64%	10.55%

Both teams to score 39.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.57%

73.43%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.32%

13.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.11%

40.89%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.14%

53.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.81%

87.19%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 69.8%

Cadiz 10.55%

Draw 19.64%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Cadiz
1-0 @ 14.65% 2-0 @ 14.57% 3-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 9.02% 3-1 @ 5.98% 4-0 @ 4.81% 4-1 @ 2.98% 5-0 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.85% 5-1 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 69.8%	1-1 @ 9.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.41% Total : 19.64%	0-1 @ 4.56% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.55%