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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 2, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Balaidos
RM

Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Nolito (52')
Galan (36'), Galhardo (40'), Murillo (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Benzema (19' pen., 69' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

This could be a really tricky match for Real Madrid, with Celta having a lot of quality in the final third of the field. We are fully expecting the home side to find the back of the net at some point, but the league leaders should manage to navigate their way to a hugely important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
17.5%21.78%60.72%
Both teams to score 51.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.76%46.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46%68.54%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02%39.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.36%76.64%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23%14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99%43.01%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 17.5%
    Real Madrid 60.71%
    Draw 21.78%
Celta VigoDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-1 @ 4.75%
2-0 @ 2.48%
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 17.5%
1-1 @ 10.35%
0-0 @ 5.9%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 11.29%
0-2 @ 10.8%
1-2 @ 9.9%
0-3 @ 6.89%
1-3 @ 6.31%
0-4 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.89%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-5 @ 1.26%
1-5 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 60.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-0 Real Betis
Sunday, March 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 12 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-3 Mallorca
Sunday, March 6 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Levante
Monday, February 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-4 Barcelona
Sunday, March 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 0-3 Real Madrid
Monday, March 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-1 PSG
Wednesday, March 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, March 5 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Alaves
Saturday, February 19 at 8pm in La Liga


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