While the two sides have been going in different directions recently, the recent break should have acted as a reset for Athletic Bilbao, who will be desperate to return to action with a victory. We think Marcelino's men have the quality to reverse their fortunes and see off Elche on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Elche
66.46%	20.55%	12.99%

Both teams to score 44.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.38%

49.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.36%

71.64%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94%

14.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.35%

41.65%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.71%

48.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.56%

83.44%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 66.46%

Elche 12.99%

Draw 20.55%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 13.06% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 66.46%	1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.55%	0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.71% Total : 12.99%