Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
66.46% | 20.55% | 12.99% |
Both teams to score 44.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.38% | 49.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.36% | 71.64% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.94% | 14.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.35% | 41.65% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.71% | 48.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.56% | 83.44% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.32% 2-0 @ 13.06% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 8.54% 3-1 @ 6.22% 4-0 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 66.46% | 1-1 @ 9.7% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.94% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.71% Total : 12.99% |
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