Barcelona should be fresh entering this match, having not been involved in a midweek fixture, while the returns of Gavi and Lewandowski are key for the Catalan side. Athletic are certainly capable of picking up a positive result, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will shade this game on Sunday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
-0.14) 
0.19) 
