Barcelona will be desperate to return to winning ways on Thursday evening, but Real Sociedad are a team to be taken extremely seriously, especially on home soil. The Basque outfit will also be the fresher of the two sides, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which would further open up the top-four race.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
