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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
SL

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Sancet (72'), Alvarez (90'), Garcia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ocampos (90+2' pen.)
Lamela (37'), Acuna (45'), Ocampos (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

Both sides enter Thursday's showdown in strong form, so we expect Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla to dish up a closely-fought battle as they look to continue their respective hot streaks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 19.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
55.13% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 19.62% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Both teams to score 44.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.11 -0.11)56.84% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.087 -0.09)77.77% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)20.64% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (-0.132 -0.13)53.2% (0.135 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.26% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)43.74% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.09% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)79.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.11%
    Sevilla 19.62%
    Draw 25.24%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.24% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.11%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.03 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.09% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, April 15 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Getafe
Saturday, April 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-3 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Man Utd
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sevilla 2-2 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Cadiz 0-2 Sevilla
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga


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