Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
