Granada come in with far more momentum in the race for survival, and we back them to take all three points on home turf against a side who are yet to secure a league win in 2022. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Granada	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
33.62%	27.98%	38.41%

Both teams to score 47.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.68%

58.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06%

78.95%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.55%

32.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.02%

68.98%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57%

29.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.57%

65.43%

Score Analysis

Granada 33.62%

Rayo Vallecano 38.4%

Draw 27.97%

Granada	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.62%	1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97%	0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.4%