Mallorca have only scored 31 times in La Liga this season, which is the joint-second worst attacking record behind Real Valladolid, so we are not expecting a high-scoring affair on Saturday, but the hosts should be able to navigate their way to a vital three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
