Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
