Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 31.96% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.17%).
0.28) 
-0.05) 
