Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.