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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 3, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
EL

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Eibar

Asensio (41'), Benzema (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gil (20'), Pozo (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawEibar
65.38%20.79%13.83%
Both teams to score 45.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17%48.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07%70.93%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.85%14.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.19%41.81%
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.52%46.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91%82.09%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 65.37%
    Eibar 13.83%
    Draw 20.79%
Real MadridDrawEibar
1-0 @ 12.86%
2-0 @ 12.57%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.28%
4-0 @ 4.01%
4-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.41%
5-0 @ 1.57%
5-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 65.37%
1-1 @ 9.85%
0-0 @ 6.58%
2-2 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.79%
0-1 @ 5.04%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.93%
1-3 @ 0.96%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.83%

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