Leipzig's impressive victory over Dortmund at the weekend would certainly have boosted confidence in the camp, but it is so difficult to back against Real Madrid at the moment. This could end up being a tricky affair for the European champions, but we are still expecting them to navigate their way to another three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
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