Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Barcelona

Muniain (2', 105+1' pen.), Martinez (86')
Garcia (30'), de Marcos (104'), Williams (119'), Muniain (120')

FT
(aet)

Torres (20'), Pedri (90+3')
Pique (76'), Pedri (97'), de Jong (104'), Alba (105')

Preview

The Match

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect on Thursday, as both managers will make changes from their usual starting teams. Barcelona's squad is starting to look a lot stronger following their injury issues, though, and we fancy the Catalan giants to navigate their way to the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
30.07%	25.9%	44.03%

Both teams to score 52.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.77%

51.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.93%

73.07%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72%

31.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36%

67.64%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.83%

23.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.95%

57.05%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 30.07%

Barcelona 44.02%

Draw 25.89%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 8.42% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.07%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 4.39% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.38% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.02%