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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 20, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
BL

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Barcelona

Muniain (2', 105+1' pen.), Martinez (86')
Garcia (30'), de Marcos (104'), Williams (119'), Muniain (120')
FT
(aet)
Torres (20'), Pedri (90+3')
Pique (76'), Pedri (97'), de Jong (104'), Alba (105')

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Barcelona

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect on Thursday, as both managers will make changes from their usual starting teams. Barcelona's squad is starting to look a lot stronger following their injury issues, though, and we fancy the Catalan giants to navigate their way to the quarter-finals of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
30.07%25.9%44.03%
Both teams to score 52.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.77%51.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.93%73.07%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72%31.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36%67.64%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83%23.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95%57.05%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 30.07%
    Barcelona 44.02%
    Draw 25.89%
Athletic BilbaoDrawBarcelona
1-0 @ 8.42%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.9%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.07%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 7.25%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 9.01%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.78%
2-3 @ 2.55%
1-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.38%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.02%

Read more!
Read more!


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