SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 66.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 13.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
66.06% ( -0.19) | 20.55% ( 0.09) | 13.38% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.24% ( -0.14) | 48.76% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.13% ( -0.13) | 70.87% ( 0.13) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.08% ( -0.1) | 13.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.64% ( -0.2) | 41.36% ( 0.2) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.88% ( 0.07) | 47.12% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.42% ( 0.05) | 82.58% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 66.06% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 13.38% |
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