SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
21.19% ( 0.07) | 24.72% ( 0.02) | 54.09% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( 0.01) | 53.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( 0.01) | 74.74% ( -0.01) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.08) | 39.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( 0.08) | 76.59% ( -0.08) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.03) | 19.61% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.45% ( -0.05) | 51.56% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.19% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.39% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.82% Total : 54.08% |
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