SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 22 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 22 | -12 | 25 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 22 | -22 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 22 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 22 | -7 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bohemians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
21.47% ( 3.27) | 25.15% ( 1.2) | 53.38% ( -4.46) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.48% ( -0.65) | 54.52% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( -0.54) | 75.88% ( 0.54) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( 3.24) | 40.42% ( -3.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.97% ( 2.8) | 77.03% ( -2.8) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -1.98) | 20.42% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -3.25) | 52.86% ( 3.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.26)Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.47% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.59) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( -1.09)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.97)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.55)1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.29)Other @ 3.47% Total : 53.37% |
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