Bohemians are not at their best in recent months after their strong start to the campaign, while University College Dublin may take some confidence from their recent cup victory, but we still see the hosts being far too strong for a Students side who have managed just nine points all season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 4-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
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