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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 25
Jul 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
UC

Bohemians
2 - 0
UCD

Afolabi (75' pen., 89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dempsey (19'), Verdon (74'), Wells (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 Drogheda
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Bohemians 3-1 University College Dublin

Bohemians are not at their best in recent months after their strong start to the campaign, while University College Dublin may take some confidence from their recent cup victory, but we still see the hosts being far too strong for a Students side who have managed just nine points all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.56%) and 4-0 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawUniversity College Dublin
88.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 8.33%2.9%
Both teams to score 34.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.55%30.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)51.72%
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.65% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)4.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)17.97%
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.48% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.67% (-0.00090000000000057 -0)92.33%
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 88.74%
    University College Dublin 2.9%
    Draw 8.33%
BohemiansDrawUniversity College Dublin
3-0 @ 14.17%
2-0 @ 13.56%
4-0 @ 11.11%
1-0 @ 8.65%
5-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 6.44%
2-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 5.05%
6-0 @ 3.65%
5-1 @ 3.17%
6-1 @ 1.66%
7-0 @ 1.63%
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 88.74%
1-1 @ 3.93%
0-0 @ 2.76%
2-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 8.33%
0-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 2.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 3-2 Dundalk
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 Bohemians
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Shamrock
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Bohemians
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 2-1 Bohemians
Monday, June 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 Drogheda
Friday, July 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-4 Shelbourne
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 7-0 UCD
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Sligo
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 UCD
Friday, June 9 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 4-1 UCD
Monday, June 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier


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