SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
14.67% ( -0.66) | 22.79% ( 0.09) | 62.55% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 42.31% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% ( -1.41) | 54.93% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( -1.18) | 76.21% ( 1.19) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.06% ( -1.8) | 48.95% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.09% ( -1.32) | 83.92% ( 1.33) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.29) | 17.13% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( -0.53) | 47.35% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.76% Total : 14.67% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 14.79% ( 0.66) 0-2 @ 13.05% ( 0.46)1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 62.55% |
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