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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
UC

St Patrick's
7 - 0
UCD

Forrester (13' pen.), Gallagher (45' og.), Curtis (47'), Lonergan (65', 75'), McClelland (69'), Melia (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Barr (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundalk 1-1 St Patrick's
Monday, June 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Sligo
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: St Patrick's Athletic 3-0 University College Dublin

St Patrick's have won their last six meetings with UCD, including a 3-1 victory when the two sides faced off earlier this month. Although the visitors would have taken confidence from their win over Sligo, we think that they will fall to another away defeat after losing 10 of their 11 away league matches this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 86.13%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.16%) and 4-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.69%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawUniversity College Dublin
86.13%9.87%4%
Both teams to score 39.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.35%31.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.84%53.16%
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.98%5.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.96%20.04%
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)58.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.99% (-0.00089999999999968 -0)90.01% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 86.12%
    University College Dublin 4%
    Draw 9.87%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawUniversity College Dublin
2-0 @ 13.2%
3-0 @ 13.16%
4-0 @ 9.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.83%
2-1 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 7%
5-0 @ 5.89%
4-1 @ 5.24%
5-1 @ 3.13%
6-0 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 1.86%
6-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 86.12%
1-1 @ 4.69%
0-0 @ 2.95%
2-2 @ 1.87%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 9.87%
0-1 @ 1.57%
1-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dundalk 1-1 St Patrick's
Monday, June 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 2-1 St Patrick's
Friday, June 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 4-1 Derry
Monday, June 5 at 6.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 St Patrick's
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-1 Sligo
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 UCD
Friday, June 9 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 4-1 UCD
Monday, June 5 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-3 St Patrick's
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 3-1 UCD
Friday, May 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 4-1 UCD
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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