Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 57.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.44%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Cork City win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
Result | ||
Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
18.21% ( -0.09) | 23.81% ( -0.03) | 57.99% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.38% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% ( -0.01) | 53.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.01) | 74.86% ( 0.01) |
Cork City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.68% ( -0.11) | 43.31% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% ( -0.09) | 79.55% ( 0.09) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( 0.03) | 18.18% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.83% ( 0.06) | 49.17% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cork City | Draw | Derry City |
1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 18.21% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.98% |
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