SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.52%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.53%) and 0-3 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
8.74% ( -0.1) | 16.74% ( -0.13) | 74.52% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 41.88% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.26% ( 0.25) | 44.74% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( 0.23) | 67.1% ( -0.24) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.06) | 53.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.18% ( -0.04) | 86.82% ( 0.03) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( 0.12) | 10.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.07% ( 0.27) | 33.93% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 8.74% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 16.74% | 0-2 @ 14.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 10.7% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 6.06% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 74.5% |
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