Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
61.86% ( 0.1) | 23.12% ( 0.02) | 15.02% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 42.2% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.47% ( -0.25) | 55.53% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.29% ( -0.2) | 76.71% ( 0.21) |
Derry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.41% ( -0.06) | 17.59% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.84% ( -0.1) | 48.16% ( 0.1) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.2% ( -0.31) | 48.8% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.19% ( -0.23) | 83.81% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
1-0 @ 14.91% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.85% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.5% Total : 23.12% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.02% |
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