SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cork City had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Cork City win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Cork City |
57.01% ( 2.52) | 22.81% ( -0.67) | 20.18% ( -1.84) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.33% ( 0.59) | 46.68% ( -0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.06% ( 0.55) | 68.94% ( -0.55) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( 1.1) | 16.14% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.43% ( 1.97) | 45.57% ( -1.96) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -1.5) | 37.26% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( -1.51) | 74.05% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Cork City |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.47)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.32)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.24% Total : 57% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.65% Total : 20.18% |
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